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Crown Green Handicap

Eric Rick Shaw

Team: Pensby CDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

739

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

21

Matches Played

9

Wins

12

Losses

43%

Win Rate

6.7

Avg Win Margin

7.8

Avg Loss Margin

8-3

Home Record

1-9

Away Record

40%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
21 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/10/2016

Only 21 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 153/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 21 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

10 May18 May9 Jun30 Jun7 Jul26 Jul10 Aug-13714

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.05
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
6.7
score-0.22→contribution-0.05
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.8
score+0.03→contribution+0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
937
score-0.21→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.142
Sample Size Confidence
40%(21/33 matches)
Rating943 → shrunk 977→ adjusted 739
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

9W12L21 matches·42.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2016Division C1981142.1%
Pensby B2016Division B21150%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/10/2016vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
8/9/2016Andy PritchardA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/27/2016Frank Leech SrH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
7/26/2016Gordon CapperH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
7/13/2016vs Thingwall BH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
7/12/2016Mike DohertyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
7/7/2016Ken KerrH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
7/6/2016Ron WilsonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
7/5/2016Phillip McgunigallA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
6/30/2016Robert KellA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
6/29/2016vs Hoylake CentralH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/23/2016Peter ProwseH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
6/9/2016Peter ProwseA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/2/2016Alan DunbarA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
5/31/2016Frank Leech SrA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
5/18/2016vs Oxton Cons CH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
5/17/2016Mike RamseyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
5/11/2016vs Albany BH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
5/10/2016Ken ArchibaldA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
4/27/2016vs Sea DogH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
4/26/2016David MossA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy3 games · 1W
20163 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJim Morris / Douglas RaphelBebington Park B13-15LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundJack Jones / Paul GriffithsTixall B2-15LOSSWON
Quarters RoundKevin Howgate / Ian DoughertyPort Sunlight V&w15-11WINWON
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 1W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundUnlisted PlayerOxton Cons C21-8WINLOST

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
LLWWW
Last 1060% win rate— steady
LLWWWLWWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Frank Leech Sr11250%7/27/2016
Peter Prowse0220%6/23/2016
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B0110%8/10/2016
Andy Pritchard0110%8/9/2016
Gordon Capper101100%7/26/2016
Thingwall B101100%7/13/2016
Mike Doherty0110%7/12/2016
Ken Kerr101100%7/7/2016
Ron Wilson101100%7/6/2016
Phillip Mcgunigall0110%7/5/2016
Biggest Win
Unknown (+11)6/29/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Andy Pritchard (-15)8/9/2016
Best Season
201643% · 21 matches
Worst Season
201643% · 21 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
20% → 64%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
87911 known · 10 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
4-544% win rate

By Division

Division C8-11 (42%)
Division B1-1 (50%)
Division B50%
1W·1L·2 played
Division C42.1%
8W·11L·19 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

Aug 10, 2016

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

21.0 (21 total)

Seasons

2016